MVV Maastricht vs Helmond Sport Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
MVV Maastricht v Helmond Sport — Team-Based Signals
MVV Maastricht vs Helmond Sport Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
1-2
HT 0-1
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
4-0
HT 2-0
Helmond Sport
HOL2
1-2
HT 1-0
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
3-2
HT 2-1
Helmond Sport
HOL2
1-1
HT 1-0
Helmond Sport
HOL2
MVV Maastricht 3-0 Helmond Sport — Actual Match Statistics
MVV Maastricht swept aside Helmond Sport 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had MVV Maastricht as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, MVV Maastricht had 38% of the ball to Helmond Sport's 62%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.86 to 1.19.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MVV Maastricht had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for MVV Maastricht and 1.00 for Helmond Sport.
What was the final score of MVV Maastricht vs Helmond Sport?
MVV Maastricht 3-0 Helmond Sport in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for MVV Maastricht vs Helmond Sport?
Before kick-off our model rated a MVV Maastricht win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split MVV Maastricht 41%, draw 27%, Helmond Sport 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MVV Maastricht), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.