Urawa Red (K) 0-1 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-7.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+7.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urawa Red (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) EU Bookmakers 31%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
2.04/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.51
+102% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +128%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Urawa Red (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Urawa Red (K) Urawa Red (K) JWEL
03.03.2024 Urawa Red (K) Urawa Red (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urawa Red (K)
0-1
AWAY INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Urawa Red (K) vs INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) squeezed past Urawa Red (K) 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Urawa Red (K) had 67% of the ball to INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)'s 33%, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Urawa Red (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Urawa Red (K) and 0.50 for INAC Kobe Leonessa (K).

What was the final score of Urawa Red (K) vs INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)?

Urawa Red (K) 0-1 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urawa Red (K) vs INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Urawa Red (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red (K) 38%, draw 27%, INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Urawa Red (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Urawa Red (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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