Marupe 2-1 Valmiera II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 22 Sep 2024

Marupe
2-1
Valmiera II
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2024

Marupe vs Valmiera II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
47%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
47%
Away Win
42%
+4.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.0pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Marupe v Valmiera II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marupe EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Valmiera II EU Bookmakers 46%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
0.51/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.55
-58% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -37%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
267 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Marupe vs Valmiera II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marupe squeezed past Valmiera II 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Valmiera II at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Marupe vs Valmiera II?

Marupe 2-1 Valmiera II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marupe vs Valmiera II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valmiera II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Marupe 29%, draw 24%, Valmiera II 47%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Valmiera II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valmiera II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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