22/09/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
4-0
2nd Score
3-0
Super Nova vs Tukums II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
21%
X/2
3%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
82%
19%
Draw
12%
14%
Away Win
6%
47%
Under 2.5
31%
53%
Over 2.5
69%
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
58%
BTTS No
61%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Super Nova v Tukums II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Super Nova
EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY
Tukums II
EU Bookmakers 8%
-12% /
-12%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+16% /
+16%
2.49/0.98
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.68/2.81
-11%
/
-5%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-25%
/
-1%
61%
Ball Possession
39%
17
Total Shots
7
7
Shots on Target
2
6
Corners
2
465 · 87%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
290 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Super Nova vs Tukums II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Super Nova
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Tukums II
4.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Super Nova vs Tukums II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Super Nova saw off Tukums II 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Super Nova as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.
What was the final score of Super Nova vs Tukums II?
Super Nova 2-0 Tukums II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Super Nova vs Tukums II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Super Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Super Nova 66%, draw 19%, Tukums II 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Super Nova), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Super Nova)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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LET1
More Latvia - 1st Division
22 Sep 2024