Ajka 2-2 Budafoki MTE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-1.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajka EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Budafoki MTE EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -14%
1.69/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.65
+25% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajka
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Budafoki MTE
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
04.02.2024 Ajka Ajka 3-1 HT 2-1 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE MAC2
06.08.2023 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE 2-0 HT 2-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
11.12.2022 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE 1-2 HT 0-1 Ajka Ajka MAC2
31.07.2022 Ajka Ajka 3-0 HT 3-0 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE MAC2
08.05.2022 Ajka Ajka 2-0 HT 1-0 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE MAC2
24.11.2021 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE 1-1 HT 0-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajka
2-2
AWAY Budafoki MTE
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ajka vs Budafoki MTE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajka and Budafoki MTE shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ajka at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ajka had 43% of the ball to Budafoki MTE's 57%, shots finished 9-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajka had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ajka and 0.83 for Budafoki MTE.

What was the final score of Ajka vs Budafoki MTE?

Ajka 2-2 Budafoki MTE in the Hungary - NB II on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajka vs Budafoki MTE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajka win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ajka 45%, draw 26%, Budafoki MTE 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ajka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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