Györi ETO 2-1 Paksi SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 22 Sep 2024

Györi ETO
2-1 HT 2-1
Paksi SE
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Hungary - NB I – 2024/2025

Györi ETO vs Paksi SE Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.18
Over
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
27%
4.32
2-3
39%
1.88
4-5
24%
2.98
6+
10%
9.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+3.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-3.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.3pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Györi ETO v Paksi SE — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Györi ETO EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.08/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.79
-34% / +116% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
– Crosses 22.9
– Yellow Cards 2.4

Györi ETO vs Paksi SE Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Györi ETO
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Paksi SE
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
The Meetings
30.11.2014 Györi ETO Györi ETO 2-2 HT 0-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
27.07.2014 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-0 HT 2-0 Györi ETO Györi ETO MAC
22.03.2014 Paksi SE Paksi SE 1-2 HT 1-2 Györi ETO Györi ETO MAC
31.08.2013 Györi ETO Györi ETO 2-0 HT 2-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
26.04.2013 Györi ETO Györi ETO 3-4 HT 3-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC

Györi ETO 2-1 Paksi SE — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Györi ETO
2-1
AWAY Paksi SE
1.24 xG 0.79
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
248 Passes 301
68% Pass Accuracy 67%
15 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Györi ETO vs Paksi SE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Györi ETO squeezed past Paksi SE 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Györi ETO as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Györi ETO had 44% of the ball to Paksi SE's 56%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.24 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Györi ETO and 1.80 for Paksi SE.

What was the final score of Györi ETO vs Paksi SE?

Györi ETO 2-1 Paksi SE in the Hungary - NB I on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Györi ETO vs Paksi SE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Györi ETO win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Györi ETO 43%, draw 26%, Paksi SE 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Györi ETO), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Györi ETO) ✓ BTTS Yes
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