Puskas FC 3-0 MOL Fehervar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
55%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.0
Over
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.72
2-3
37%
1.82
4-5
26%
3.26
6+
11%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.72 — our 26% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Puskas FC win — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
55%
Home Win
58%
-3.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+2.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puskas FC The Market 62%
Head to Head
AWAY MOL Fehervar The Market 21%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -12%
2.03/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/2.08
-6% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
415 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 72%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
26.6 Crosses 14.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puskas FC
2W-3D-1L
AWAY MOL Fehervar
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.62 xG 1.30
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
351 Passes 351
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
37 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 0-0 HT 0-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
02.12.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 3-1 HT 2-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
18.08.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 2-2 HT 1-1 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
14.05.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 2-1 HT 0-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
18.02.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 1-1 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
19.10.2022 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 0-1 HT 0-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MACK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puskas FC
3-0
AWAY MOL Fehervar
2.34 xG 1.76
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
403 Passes 289
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Puskas FC vs MOL Fehervar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puskas FC ran out comfortable winners over MOL Fehervar 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Puskas FC as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Puskas FC had 57% of the ball to MOL Fehervar's 43%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 2.34 to 1.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Puskas FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Puskas FC and 1.17 for MOL Fehervar.

What was the final score of Puskas FC vs MOL Fehervar?

Puskas FC 3-0 MOL Fehervar in the Hungary - NB I on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puskas FC vs MOL Fehervar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puskas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Puskas FC 55%, draw 24%, MOL Fehervar 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Puskas FC), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Puskas FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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