Diriangen 2-3 Rancho Santana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 22 Sep 2024

Diriangen
2-3 HT 1-1
Rancho Santana
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Nikaragua - Premier League – 2024/2025

Diriangen vs Rancho Santana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.22
Draw
17%
5.71
Away
12%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.51
Over 2.5
63%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
77%
-5.8pp
17%
Draw
14%
+2.1pp
12%
Away Win
8%
+3.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
36%
+0.7pp
63%
Over 2.5
64%
-0.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.6pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Diriangen v Rancho Santana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diriangen EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Rancho Santana EU Bookmakers 11%
-1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
2.56/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.25/2.24
+7% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / +1%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
445 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Diriangen 2-3 Rancho Santana — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Diriangen
2-3
AWAY Rancho Santana
69% Ball Possession 31%
19 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Diriangen vs Rancho Santana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rancho Santana squeezed past Diriangen 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Diriangen carried 71% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Diriangen had 69% of the ball to Rancho Santana's 31%, shots finished 19-8.

What was the final score of Diriangen vs Rancho Santana?

Diriangen 2-3 Rancho Santana in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diriangen vs Rancho Santana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diriangen win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Diriangen 71%, draw 17%, Rancho Santana 12%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Diriangen), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Diriangen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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