Jalapa 0-1 Walter Ferretti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jalapa EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -12%
1.40/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.25
-8% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jalapa
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Walter Ferretti
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.04.2024 Jalapa Jalapa 2-0 HT 2-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
04.02.2024 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 2-0 HT 1-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
08.10.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 3-2 HT 1-1 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
06.04.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 3-2 HT 1-1 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
12.02.2023 Jalapa Jalapa 0-1 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
27.10.2022 Jalapa Jalapa 1-0 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
POST-MATCH Jalapa vs Walter Ferretti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walter Ferretti nicked a narrow win over Jalapa 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Jalapa at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Walter Ferretti led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Jalapa and 1.50 for Walter Ferretti.

What was the final score of Jalapa vs Walter Ferretti?

Jalapa 0-1 Walter Ferretti in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jalapa vs Walter Ferretti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jalapa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Jalapa 44%, draw 27%, Walter Ferretti 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Jalapa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jalapa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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