Spartak Trnava 1-0 Dukla Banska Bystrica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.45
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
26%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.44
2-3 Goals
46%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 27% vs market 23.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
65%
-15.3pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.1pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+11.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.2pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Trnava EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Dukla Banska Bystrica EU Bookmakers 17%
-10% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
1.63/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.37
-18% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
368 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 68%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
23.3 Crosses 17.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Trnava
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Dukla Banska Bystrica
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.65 xG 1.10
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
321 Passes 301
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
30 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 2-0 HT 2-0 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica SLVK
08.10.2023 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 1-2 HT 0-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
06.05.2023 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 0-1 HT 0-0 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica SLVK
08.04.2023 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 2-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
08.10.2022 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 0-2 HT 0-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
24.07.2022 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 1-2 HT 0-1 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Trnava
1-0
AWAY Dukla Banska Bystrica
1.46 xG 0.59
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
402 Passes 289
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 20
28 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Spartak Trnava vs Dukla Banska Bystrica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Trnava edged past Dukla Banska Bystrica 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Spartak Trnava as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Spartak Trnava had 57% of the ball to Dukla Banska Bystrica's 43%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.46 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Spartak Trnava and 1.00 for Dukla Banska Bystrica.

What was the final score of Spartak Trnava vs Dukla Banska Bystrica?

Spartak Trnava 1-0 Dukla Banska Bystrica in the Slovakia Super League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Trnava vs Dukla Banska Bystrica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Trnava win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Spartak Trnava 49%, draw 25%, Dukla Banska Bystrica 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Trnava), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Trnava) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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