Karacabey Belediye Spor 2-1 Somaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.51
Over 2.5
47%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-1.6pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.3pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.3pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Somaspor EU Bookmakers 24%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.26/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.15
+73% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor
2-1
AWAY Somaspor
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Somaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karacabey Belediye Spor squeezed past Somaspor 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Karacabey Belediye Spor as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Karacabey Belediye Spor had 47% of the ball to Somaspor's 53%, shots finished 10-17.

What was the final score of Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Somaspor?

Karacabey Belediye Spor 2-1 Somaspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Somaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karacabey Belediye Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Karacabey Belediye Spor 50%, draw 24%, Somaspor 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karacabey Belediye Spor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karacabey Belediye Spor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T2L-K More Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup
22 Sep 2024
15:30 Van Spor FK vs Elazığspor Analysis →
16:00 Serik Belediyespor vs Giresunspor Analysis →
16:30 Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü vs 68 Aksaray Belediyespor Analysis →
16:30 Beykoz Anadolu vs Altay Analysis →
19:00 Karaman Futbol Kulübü vs Arnavutköy Belediye Analysis →
19:00 Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu vs Erbaaspor Analysis →