Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu 0-1 Erbaaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.7pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Erbaaspor EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu
0-1
AWAY Erbaaspor
65% Ball Possession 35%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu vs Erbaaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erbaaspor edged past Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu had 65% of the ball to Erbaaspor's 35%, shots finished 7-12.

What was the final score of Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu vs Erbaaspor?

Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu 0-1 Erbaaspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu vs Erbaaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu 41%, draw 30%, Erbaaspor 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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