Thai Port FC vs BG Pathum United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Thai Port FC v BG Pathum United — Team-Based Signals
Thai Port FC vs BG Pathum United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 2-0
BG Pathum United
TAY
2-1
HT 1-0
BG Pathum United
TAY
4-2
HT 2-1
Thai Port FC
TAY
2-1
HT 2-0
Thai Port FC
TAY
1-0
HT 1-0
BG Pathum United
TAY
Thai Port FC 1-2 BG Pathum United — Actual Match Statistics
BG Pathum United squeezed past Thai Port FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Thai Port FC at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Thai Port FC had 66% of the ball to BG Pathum United's 34%, shots finished 22-4, expected goals 1.50 to 0.99 — the balance of chances actually favoured Thai Port FC.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Thai Port FC and 1.83 for BG Pathum United.
What was the final score of Thai Port FC vs BG Pathum United?
Thai Port FC 1-2 BG Pathum United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Thai Port FC vs BG Pathum United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Thai Port FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Thai Port FC 48%, draw 25%, BG Pathum United 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Thai Port FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.