Polessya 1-1 LNZ Cherkasy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polessya EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY LNZ Cherkasy EU Bookmakers 29%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
0.79/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.74
-49% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +65%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 200 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polessya
1W-0D-1L
AWAY LNZ Cherkasy
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
01.03.2024 Polessya Polessya 0-1 HT 0-0 LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy UKR
18.08.2023 LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy 1-2 HT 0-0 Polessya Polessya UKR
POST-MATCH Polessya vs LNZ Cherkasy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polessya and LNZ Cherkasy couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Polessya at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Polessya and 1.00 for LNZ Cherkasy.

What was the final score of Polessya vs LNZ Cherkasy?

Polessya 1-1 LNZ Cherkasy in the Ukraine - Premier League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polessya vs LNZ Cherkasy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polessya win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Polessya 43%, draw 26%, LNZ Cherkasy 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Polessya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Polessya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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