Kryvbas KR 1-1 Vorskla Poltava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-9.1pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.5pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+2.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.3pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kryvbas KR EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Vorskla Poltava EU Bookmakers 25%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -12%
0.96/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.48
-39% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
393 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kryvbas KR
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Vorskla Poltava
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
08.04.2024 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 1-1 HT 1-1 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
23.09.2023 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 1-4 HT 1-2 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
19.05.2023 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 1-0 HT 0-0 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
09.11.2022 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 1-0 HT 0-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
POST-MATCH Kryvbas KR vs Vorskla Poltava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kryvbas KR and Vorskla Poltava shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Kryvbas KR at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kryvbas KR had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kryvbas KR and 0.75 for Vorskla Poltava.

What was the final score of Kryvbas KR vs Vorskla Poltava?

Kryvbas KR 1-1 Vorskla Poltava in the Ukraine - Premier League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kryvbas KR vs Vorskla Poltava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kryvbas KR win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kryvbas KR 43%, draw 32%, Vorskla Poltava 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kryvbas KR), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kryvbas KR) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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