Burgos vs Granada Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Burgos v Granada — Team-Based Signals
Burgos vs Granada Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-0
Granada
İS2
1-0
HT 1-0
Burgos
İS2
Burgos 1-1 Granada — Actual Match Statistics
Burgos and Granada shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Burgos at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Burgos had 55% of the ball to Granada's 45%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 0.86 to 0.33.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Granada led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Burgos and 1.50 for Granada.
What was the final score of Burgos vs Granada?
Burgos 1-1 Granada in the Spain - 2nd Division on 22/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Burgos vs Granada?
Before kick-off our model rated a Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Burgos 44%, draw 25%, Granada 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Burgos), BTTS No went the other way.