Austin 2-1 Seattle Sounders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 22 Sep 2025

Austin
2-1 HT 1-0
Seattle Sounders
📅22/09/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
USA - Major League – 2025

Austin vs Seattle Sounders Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.4pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.3pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+2.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.9pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Austin v Seattle Sounders — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austin EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +17%
1.14/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.16
-8% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
19.7 Crosses 17.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7

Austin vs Seattle Sounders Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austin
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Seattle Sounders
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.12 xG 1.49
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
349 Passes 400
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.06.2025 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 2-0 HT 1-0 Austin Austin ABD
03.03.2024 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 0-0 HT 0-0 Austin Austin ABD
31.08.2023 Austin Austin 1-2 HT 0-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
18.05.2023 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 1-2 HT 0-1 Austin Austin ABD
11.09.2022 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 3-0 HT 2-0 Austin Austin ABD
20.03.2022 Austin Austin 1-1 HT 0-1 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD

Austin 2-1 Seattle Sounders — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austin
2-1
AWAY Seattle Sounders
1.77 xG 2.38
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 13
321 Passes 480
85% Pass Accuracy 91%
9 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Austin vs Seattle Sounders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austin nicked a narrow win over Seattle Sounders 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Seattle Sounders at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Austin had 42% of the ball to Seattle Sounders's 58%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.77 to 2.38 — on chances, Seattle Sounders could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Seattle Sounders led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Austin and 1.50 for Seattle Sounders.

What was the final score of Austin vs Seattle Sounders?

Austin 2-1 Seattle Sounders in the USA - Major League on 22/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austin vs Seattle Sounders?

Before kick-off our model rated an Seattle Sounders win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Austin 33%, draw 24%, Seattle Sounders 44%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Seattle Sounders) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Seattle Sounders) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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