Los Angeles FC 4-1 Real Salt Lake — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 22 Sep 2025

📅22/09/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.24
2-3 Goals
39%
1.96
4-5 Goals
25%
2.56
6+ Goals
12%
6.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.67
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.95
X/1
14%
4.1
X/2
5%
13.9
X/X
6%
7.24
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.2
2/2
7%
10.55
2/X
9%
18.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.2 — our 9% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
66%
-2.2pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.1pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+2.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.1pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Salt Lake EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.98/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.74
+4% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
32.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
17.4 Crosses 16.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Los Angeles FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Real Salt Lake
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.58 xG 1.54
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
347 Passes 347
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.09.2025 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 1-4 HT 0-2 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
18.07.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
03.03.2024 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 3-0 HT 3-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
02.10.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
09.08.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 4-0 HT 0-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake CONLK
14.05.2023 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 0-3 HT 0-2 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Los Angeles FC
4-1
AWAY Real Salt Lake
2.02 xG 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 19
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
434 Passes 506
88% Pass Accuracy 89%
28 Box Touches 18
8 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Los Angeles FC vs Real Salt Lake
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles FC cruised past Real Salt Lake 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Los Angeles FC as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Los Angeles FC had 46% of the ball to Real Salt Lake's 54%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 2.02 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Los Angeles FC and 1.00 for Real Salt Lake.

What was the final score of Los Angeles FC vs Real Salt Lake?

Los Angeles FC 4-1 Real Salt Lake in the USA - Major League on 22/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Los Angeles FC vs Real Salt Lake?

Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles FC 63%, draw 20%, Real Salt Lake 17%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Los Angeles FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Los Angeles FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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ABD More USA - Major League
22 Sep 2025
02:00 Austin vs Seattle Sounders Analysis →