Real Salt Lake 1-4 Los Angeles FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 18 Sep 2025

📅18/09/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.21
Over 2.5
62%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.0pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.8pp
47%
Away Win
43%
+3.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.3pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Salt Lake EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 48%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +9%
1.22/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.29
+8% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
355 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 83%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
19.9 Crosses 14.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Salt Lake
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Los Angeles FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.08 xG 1.70
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
328 Passes 364
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.07.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
03.03.2024 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 3-0 HT 3-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
02.10.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
09.08.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 4-0 HT 0-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake CONLK
14.05.2023 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 0-3 HT 0-2 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
05.09.2022 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Salt Lake
1-4
AWAY Los Angeles FC
3.02 xG 2.43
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 2
433 Passes 297
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
43 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles FC swept aside Real Salt Lake 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Los Angeles FC as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Real Salt Lake had 58% of the ball to Los Angeles FC's 42%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 3.02 to 2.43 — on chances, Real Salt Lake could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Real Salt Lake and 1.67 for Los Angeles FC.

What was the final score of Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC?

Real Salt Lake 1-4 Los Angeles FC in the USA - Major League on 18/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Real Salt Lake 32%, draw 21%, Los Angeles FC 47%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Los Angeles FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Los Angeles FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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