New York City FC vs Columbus Crew Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New York City FC v Columbus Crew — Team-Based Signals
New York City FC vs Columbus Crew Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-0
Columbus Crew
ABD
1-1
HT 0-0
New York City FC
ABD
1-1
HT 0-0
Columbus Crew
ABD
New York City FC 3-2 Columbus Crew — Actual Match Statistics
New York City FC squeezed past Columbus Crew 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had New York City FC as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (62%) came in.
On the day, New York City FC had 56% of the ball to Columbus Crew's 44%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 2.04 to 1.31.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Columbus Crew led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for New York City FC and 1.67 for Columbus Crew.
What was the final score of New York City FC vs Columbus Crew?
New York City FC 3-2 Columbus Crew in the USA - Major League on 18/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New York City FC vs Columbus Crew?
Before kick-off our model rated a New York City FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split New York City FC 47%, draw 25%, Columbus Crew 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New York City FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.