Sarpsborg 08 II 0-1 SF Grei — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 22 Sep 2025

📅22/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
51%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.32
No
34%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+0.9pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.8pp
51%
Away Win
48%
+2.9pp
66%
BTTS Yes
72%
-5.9pp
34%
BTTS No
28%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarpsborg 08 II EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY SF Grei EU Bookmakers 53%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-17% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
303 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sarpsborg 08 II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY SF Grei
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.06.2025 SF Grei SF Grei 1-2 HT 1-2 Sarpsborg 08 II Sarpsborg 08 II NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarpsborg 08 II
0-1
AWAY SF Grei
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sarpsborg 08 II vs SF Grei
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SF Grei squeezed past Sarpsborg 08 II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had SF Grei as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sarpsborg 08 II had 47% of the ball to SF Grei's 53%, shots finished 13-18.

What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 II vs SF Grei?

Sarpsborg 08 II 0-1 SF Grei in the Norway - 3rd Division on 22/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 II vs SF Grei?

Before kick-off our model rated an SF Grei win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 II 30%, draw 19%, SF Grei 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SF Grei) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SF Grei) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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