Nardo 1-1 Rosenborg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 22 Sep 2025

📅22/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.72
Draw
17%
4.08
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.32
No
38%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
54%
+2.8pp
17%
Draw
21%
-4.0pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.2pp
62%
BTTS Yes
72%
-9.0pp
38%
BTTS No
28%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nardo EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosenborg II EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.44/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/3.08
-2% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
482 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nardo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Rosenborg II
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2025 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II 3-2 HT 1-2 Nardo Nardo NOR4
26.08.2024 Nardo Nardo 5-0 HT 1-0 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II NOR4
23.06.2024 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II 0-1 HT 0-0 Nardo Nardo NOR4
18.09.2023 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II 1-0 HT 1-0 Nardo Nardo NOR4
31.07.2023 Nardo Nardo 5-1 HT 4-0 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II NOR4
17.08.2022 Nardo Nardo 1-1 HT 0-0 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nardo
1-1
AWAY Rosenborg II
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nardo vs Rosenborg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nardo and Rosenborg II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Nardo carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

On the day, Nardo had 54% of the ball to Rosenborg II's 46%, shots finished 16-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nardo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Nardo and 1.00 for Rosenborg II.

What was the final score of Nardo vs Rosenborg II?

Nardo 1-1 Rosenborg II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 22/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nardo vs Rosenborg II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nardo win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Nardo 57%, draw 17%, Rosenborg II 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nardo), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nardo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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