Libertad 0-1 2 de Mayo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 22 Sep 2025

📅22/09/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
58%
-4.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.8pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Libertad EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY 2 de Mayo EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.49/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/1.33
+7% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 79%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.0
26.0 Crosses 18.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad
2W-2D-2L
AWAY 2 de Mayo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.07.2025 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 0-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
01.06.2025 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 0-1 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
29.03.2025 Libertad Libertad 1-1 HT 0-0 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo PAR
04.11.2024 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 2-0 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
26.08.2024 Libertad Libertad 2-0 HT 1-0 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo PAR
29.04.2024 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 2-0 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Libertad
0-1
AWAY 2 de Mayo
58% Ball Possession 42%
4 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Libertad vs 2 de Mayo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

2 de Mayo squeezed past Libertad 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Libertad at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Libertad had 58% of the ball to 2 de Mayo's 42%, shots finished 4-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Libertad and 0.83 for 2 de Mayo.

What was the final score of Libertad vs 2 de Mayo?

Libertad 0-1 2 de Mayo in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 22/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Libertad vs 2 de Mayo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Libertad 53%, draw 25%, 2 de Mayo 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Libertad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Libertad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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