29/04/2024
·
00:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
2 de Mayo vs Libertad Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
25%
Draw
26%
46%
Away Win
49%
56%
Under 2.5
54%
44%
Over 2.5
46%
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
56%
BTTS No
50%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
2 de Mayo v Libertad — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
2 de Mayo
EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY
Libertad
EU Bookmakers 53%
+10% /
+10%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+3% /
+2%
0.96/1.52
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.77/0.97
-9%
/
-5%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+15%
/
-10%
47%
Ball Possession
53%
11
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
5
254 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
322 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
0.5
Yellow Cards
1.9
2 de Mayo vs Libertad Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
2 de Mayo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Libertad
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
43%
Ball Possession
57%
7
Total Shots
11
1
Shots on Target
4
3
Corners
7
1
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
2 de Mayo vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
2 de Mayo saw off Libertad 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Libertad at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of 2 de Mayo vs Libertad?
2 de Mayo 2-0 Libertad in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for 2 de Mayo vs Libertad?
Before kick-off our model rated an Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split 2 de Mayo 29%, draw 25%, Libertad 46%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Libertad) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Libertad)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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More Paraguay - Profesyonel League
29 Apr 2024