Cerro Porteno 4-0 General Caballero JLM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.42
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
67%
-15.2pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.6pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+9.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY General Caballero JLM EU Bookmakers 16%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +13%
1.96/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.62
+6% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +17%
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
439 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Porteno
3W-2D-1L
AWAY General Caballero JLM
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.02.2024 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 2-2 HT 1-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
07.10.2023 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 1-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
23.07.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-0 HT 1-0 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
21.05.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-2 HT 1-0 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
21.03.2023 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 2-3 HT 2-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
28.10.2022 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-1 HT 1-0 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Porteno
4-0
AWAY General Caballero JLM
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cerro Porteno vs General Caballero JLM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Porteno cruised past General Caballero JLM 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cerro Porteno as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Cerro Porteno had 63% of the ball to General Caballero JLM's 37%, shots finished 13-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cerro Porteno and 1.33 for General Caballero JLM.

What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs General Caballero JLM?

Cerro Porteno 4-0 General Caballero JLM in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs General Caballero JLM?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 51%, draw 26%, General Caballero JLM 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Porteno), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✓ BTTS No
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