Degerfors 1-2 Örebro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 22 Oct 2024

Degerfors
1-2 HT 0-0
Örebro
📅22/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Degerfors vs Örebro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
52%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.97
Over
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
23%
3.61
2-3
43%
1.81
4-5
23%
3.34
6+
11%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.61 — our 23% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.26
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.9
X/1
15%
4.14
X/2
8%
9.18
X/X
12%
5.04
2/1
14%
23.15
2/2
10%
6.9
2/X
5%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Degerfors win — 52% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Degerfors v Örebro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Degerfors The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Örebro The Market 25%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -11%
2.03/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.53
+21% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
300 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Degerfors vs Örebro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Degerfors
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Örebro
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.01 xG 2.26
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
498 Passes 312
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.05.2024 Örebro Örebro 2-1 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
25.10.2021 Örebro Örebro 1-2 HT 0-2 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
18.05.2021 Degerfors Degerfors 3-0 HT 2-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ
11.02.2018 Örebro Örebro 1-0 HT 1-0 Degerfors Degerfors HAZ
01.09.2013 Degerfors Degerfors 1-1 HT 1-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
13.05.2013 Örebro Örebro 2-0 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Degerfors vs Örebro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Örebro nicked a narrow win over Degerfors 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Degerfors at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Örebro led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Degerfors and 1.17 for Örebro.

What was the final score of Degerfors vs Örebro?

Degerfors 1-2 Örebro in the Sweden - Superettan on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Degerfors vs Örebro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Degerfors win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Degerfors 52%, draw 25%, Örebro 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Degerfors) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Degerfors) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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