Chapecoense 0-4 Goias — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 22 Oct 2024

Chapecoense
0-4 HT 0-2
Goias
📅22/10/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Chapecoense vs Goias Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.08
6+ Goals
7%
30.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.38 — our 37% vs market 35.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+2.7pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.5pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+3.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-3.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
-7.2pp
61%
BTTS No
54%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chapecoense v Goias — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chapecoense EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Goias EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -11%
1.11/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.99
-23% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
22.0 Crosses 19.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Chapecoense vs Goias Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chapecoense
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Goias
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.28 xG 2.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
316 Passes 301
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.07.2024 Goias Goias 1-2 HT 0-1 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
21.10.2019 Chapecoense Chapecoense 2-2 HT 2-0 Goias Goias BR1
11.06.2019 Goias Goias 3-1 HT 1-1 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
29.11.2015 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-3 HT 0-2 Goias Goias BR1
13.08.2015 Goias Goias 0-0 HT 0-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
07.12.2014 Goias Goias 4-2 HT 2-1 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1

Chapecoense 0-4 Goias — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chapecoense
0-4
AWAY Goias
1.35 xG 2.19
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
402 Passes 206
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chapecoense vs Goias
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goias cruised past Chapecoense 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Goias made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Chapecoense had 63% of the ball to Goias's 37%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 1.35 to 2.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Goias led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chapecoense and 2.17 for Goias.

What was the final score of Chapecoense vs Goias?

Chapecoense 0-4 Goias in the Brazil - Serie B on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chapecoense vs Goias?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chapecoense win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chapecoense 39%, draw 28%, Goias 33%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Chapecoense), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chapecoense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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