Goias 1-2 Chapecoense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 6 Jul 2024

Goias
1-2 HT 0-1
Chapecoense
📅06/07/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Goias vs Chapecoense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.47
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.81
6+ Goals
10%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
-4.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.2pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Goias v Chapecoense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goias EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Chapecoense EU Bookmakers 19%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +17%
1.36/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.58
+33% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +35%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
18.2 Crosses 13.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.3

Goias vs Chapecoense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Goias
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Chapecoense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.45 xG 1.71
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
240 Passes 312
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 20
27 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.10.2019 Chapecoense Chapecoense 2-2 HT 2-0 Goias Goias BR1
11.06.2019 Goias Goias 3-1 HT 1-1 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
29.11.2015 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-3 HT 0-2 Goias Goias BR1
13.08.2015 Goias Goias 0-0 HT 0-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
07.12.2014 Goias Goias 4-2 HT 2-1 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
07.09.2014 Chapecoense Chapecoense 0-0 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR1

Goias 1-2 Chapecoense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Goias
1-2
AWAY Chapecoense
1.60 xG 0.41
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
14 Corners 1
471 Passes 238
89% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 12
34 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Goias vs Chapecoense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chapecoense edged past Goias 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Goias carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Goias had 65% of the ball to Chapecoense's 35%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.60 to 0.41 — on chances, Goias could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Goias had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Goias and 1.00 for Chapecoense.

What was the final score of Goias vs Chapecoense?

Goias 1-2 Chapecoense in the Brazil - Serie B on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Goias vs Chapecoense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Goias win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Goias 55%, draw 23%, Chapecoense 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Goias) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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