Ceara vs Santos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ceara v Santos — Team-Based Signals
Ceara vs Santos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Santos
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Ceara
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Santos
BR1
3-1
HT 1-1
Ceara
BR1
1-1
HT 1-1
Ceara
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Santos
BRK
Ceara 0-1 Santos — Actual Match Statistics
Santos nicked a narrow win over Ceara 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Ceara at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Ceara had 61% of the ball to Santos's 39%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 0.85 to 0.74.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ceara had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ceara and 0.83 for Santos.
What was the final score of Ceara vs Santos?
Ceara 0-1 Santos in the Brazil - Serie B on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ceara vs Santos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ceara win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ceara 44%, draw 25%, Santos 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ceara) went the other way.