America Mineiro 2-0 Operario PR — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.6
Over 2.5
32%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.76
6+ Goals
7%
26.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.5 — our 35% vs market 33.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-11.5pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.7pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.8pp
68%
Under 2.5
59%
+8.9pp
32%
Over 2.5
41%
-8.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.4pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America Mineiro EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Operario PR EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -15%
1.58/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.51
+0% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
22.7 Crosses 17.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America Mineiro
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Operario PR
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
0.84 xG 0.97
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
252 Passes 300
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 9
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.11.2020 Operario PR Operario PR 0-1 HT 0-1 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
15.08.2020 America Mineiro America Mineiro 1-1 HT 1-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
06.03.2020 Operario PR Operario PR 0-2 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BRK
01.09.2019 America Mineiro America Mineiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
27.04.2019 Operario PR Operario PR 1-0 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America Mineiro
2-0
AWAY Operario PR
1.59 xG 0.58
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
307 Passes 329
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH America Mineiro vs Operario PR
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America Mineiro saw off Operario PR 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had America Mineiro as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, America Mineiro had 49% of the ball to Operario PR's 51%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.59 to 0.58.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, America Mineiro had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for America Mineiro and 0.40 for Operario PR.

What was the final score of America Mineiro vs Operario PR?

America Mineiro 2-0 Operario PR in the Brazil - Serie B on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America Mineiro vs Operario PR?

Before kick-off our model rated a America Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split America Mineiro 45%, draw 31%, Operario PR 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America Mineiro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (America Mineiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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