Brusque 0-0 Ponte Preta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.45
Over 2.5
28%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.19
No
68%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
45%
2.14
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
12%
5.87
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.14 — our 45% vs market 39.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.9pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.9pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+3.0pp
72%
Under 2.5
65%
+6.3pp
28%
Over 2.5
35%
-6.3pp
32%
BTTS Yes
42%
-10.0pp
68%
BTTS No
58%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brusque EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Ponte Preta EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.35/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.27
-14% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 71%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
26.6 Crosses 18.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brusque
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Ponte Preta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.05 xG 1.12
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
320 Passes 273
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.08.2022 Brusque Brusque 2-1 HT 1-0 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR2
01.05.2022 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 2-0 HT 1-0 Brusque Brusque BR2
23.08.2021 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 3-0 HT 2-0 Brusque Brusque BR2
30.05.2021 Brusque Brusque 2-1 HT 1-0 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brusque
0-0
AWAY Ponte Preta
0.63 xG 0.47
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
355 Passes 229
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brusque vs Ponte Preta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brusque and Ponte Preta fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 28%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (68%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Brusque had 58% of the ball to Ponte Preta's 42%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.63 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Brusque and 1.75 for Ponte Preta.

What was the final score of Brusque vs Ponte Preta?

Brusque 0-0 Ponte Preta in the Brazil - Serie B on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brusque vs Ponte Preta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brusque win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Brusque 40%, draw 32%, Ponte Preta 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Brusque) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brusque) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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