Sidama Bunna 1-0 Ethiopian Insurance — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
37%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
1.45
Over
35%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
40%
2-3
36%
4-5
17%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
36%
Home Win
44%
-7.8pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.1pp
37%
Away Win
26%
+10.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.4pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sidama Bunna The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance The Market 29%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
0.24/0.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.65
-81% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +89%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sidama Bunna
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
07.04.2024 Sidama Bunna Sidama Bunna 0-0 HT 0-0 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sidama Bunna
1-0
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sidama Bunna vs Ethiopian Insurance
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sidama Bunna squeezed past Ethiopian Insurance 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Sidama Bunna found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sidama Bunna had 49% of the ball to Ethiopian Insurance's 51%, shots finished 7-11.

What was the final score of Sidama Bunna vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Sidama Bunna 1-0 Ethiopian Insurance in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sidama Bunna vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ethiopian Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sidama Bunna 36%, draw 28%, Ethiopian Insurance 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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