Gil Vicente U23 3-0 Leixoes U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
4%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+1.2pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.1pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Leixoes U23 EU Bookmakers 27%
-64% / -64% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
2.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/4.00
+24% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -70%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente U23
3-0
AWAY Leixoes U23
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gil Vicente U23 vs Leixoes U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente U23 ran out comfortable winners over Leixoes U23 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gil Vicente U23 as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gil Vicente U23 had 48% of the ball to Leixoes U23's 52%, shots finished 7-22.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente U23 vs Leixoes U23?

Gil Vicente U23 3-0 Leixoes U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente U23 vs Leixoes U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gil Vicente U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente U23 54%, draw 19%, Leixoes U23 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gil Vicente U23), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gil Vicente U23) ✓ Over 2.5
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