Vizela U23 1-2 Famalicao U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
34%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+7.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
34%
Away Win
40%
-6.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.8pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vizela U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Famalicao U23 EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -54% / -54%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +63%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vizela U23
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Famalicao U23
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2024 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 1-0 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 UŞGA
12.03.2024 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 1-1 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 PORU23
23.01.2024 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 3-1 HT 2-0 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 PORU23
19.12.2023 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 1-1 HT 0-0 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vizela U23
1-2
AWAY Famalicao U23
54% Ball Possession 46%
22 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vizela U23 vs Famalicao U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao U23 edged past Vizela U23 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Vizela U23 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vizela U23 had 54% of the ball to Famalicao U23's 46%, shots finished 22-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Famalicao U23 led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Vizela U23 and 1.50 for Famalicao U23.

What was the final score of Vizela U23 vs Famalicao U23?

Vizela U23 1-2 Famalicao U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vizela U23 vs Famalicao U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vizela U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vizela U23 41%, draw 25%, Famalicao U23 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vizela U23) ✗ Under 2.5
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UŞGA More Portugal - U23 National Championship
22 Oct 2024
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