Mafra U23 2-2 Estoril U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
4.71
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
54%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
24%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
18%
-0.7pp
29%
Draw
21%
+7.6pp
54%
Away Win
61%
-6.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mafra U23 EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 66%
+74% / +74% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.59/1.59
-17% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -25%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
256 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mafra U23
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Estoril U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 0
07.11.2023 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 1-3 HT 0-3 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mafra U23
2-2
AWAY Estoril U23
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mafra U23 vs Estoril U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mafra U23 and Estoril U23 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was Estoril U23 at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Mafra U23 had 46% of the ball to Estoril U23's 54%, shots finished 11-7.

What was the final score of Mafra U23 vs Estoril U23?

Mafra U23 2-2 Estoril U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mafra U23 vs Estoril U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Estoril U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Mafra U23 17%, draw 29%, Estoril U23 54%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Estoril U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estoril U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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UŞGB More Portugal - U23 National Championship
22 Oct 2024
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