Estrela U23 4-2 Portimonense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
29%
X/2
20%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+4.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.7pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 33%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.00/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-100% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
377 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estrela U23
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Portimonense U23
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
07.08.2024 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 1-0 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 UŞGB
26.09.2023 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 0-0 HT 0-0 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estrela U23
4-2
AWAY Portimonense U23
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Estrela U23 vs Portimonense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estrela U23 beat Portimonense U23 4-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Estrela U23 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estrela U23 had 58% of the ball to Portimonense U23's 42%, shots finished 14-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Portimonense U23 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Estrela U23 and 0.50 for Portimonense U23.

What was the final score of Estrela U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Estrela U23 4-2 Portimonense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estrela U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estrela U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Estrela U23 47%, draw 25%, Portimonense U23 28%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estrela U23) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estrela U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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UŞGB More Portugal - U23 National Championship
22 Oct 2024
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