Aurora 3-2 Mictlan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 22 Oct 2025

📅22/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
56%
-1.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.2pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aurora EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Mictlan EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-10% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
428 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Aurora vs Mictlan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aurora squeezed past Mictlan 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aurora as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Aurora vs Mictlan?

Aurora 3-2 Mictlan in the Guatemala - National League on 22/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aurora vs Mictlan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Aurora 55%, draw 26%, Mictlan 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aurora) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aurora) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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