Achuapa 3-2 Mixco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 22 Oct 2025

📅22/10/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.4pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.2pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.5pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Achuapa EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mixco EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.12/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.78
-12% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +62%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Achuapa
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mixco
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Mixco Mixco 1-0 HT 1-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
03.02.2025 Achuapa Achuapa 0-0 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
03.11.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 2-1 HT 1-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
18.08.2024 Mixco Mixco 0-1 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
28.04.2024 Mixco Mixco 2-1 HT 2-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
25.04.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 0-2 HT 0-2 Mixco Mixco GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Achuapa
3-2
AWAY Mixco
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Achuapa vs Mixco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Achuapa edged past Mixco 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Achuapa as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Achuapa had 48% of the ball to Mixco's 52%, shots finished 6-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mixco led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Achuapa and 1.00 for Mixco.

What was the final score of Achuapa vs Mixco?

Achuapa 3-2 Mixco in the Guatemala - National League on 22/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Achuapa vs Mixco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Achuapa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Achuapa 44%, draw 24%, Mixco 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Achuapa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Achuapa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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GUAT More Guatemala - National League
22 Oct 2025
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