Achuapa 2-1 Mixco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒00:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+2.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.2pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Achuapa EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mixco EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.25/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.30/0.77
+1% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% / +66%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Achuapa
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Mixco
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Mixco Mixco 0-1 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
28.04.2024 Mixco Mixco 2-1 HT 2-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
25.04.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 0-2 HT 0-2 Mixco Mixco GUAT
11.03.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 1-0 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
11.02.2024 Mixco Mixco 1-0 HT 1-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
01.10.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 2-0 HT 1-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Achuapa
2-1
AWAY Mixco
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Achuapa vs Mixco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Achuapa squeezed past Mixco 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Achuapa as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Achuapa had 50% of the ball to Mixco's 50%, shots finished 9-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Achuapa and 0.83 for Mixco.

What was the final score of Achuapa vs Mixco?

Achuapa 2-1 Mixco in the Guatemala - National League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Achuapa vs Mixco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Achuapa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Achuapa 43%, draw 30%, Mixco 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Achuapa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Achuapa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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