Mixco vs Achuapa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mixco v Achuapa — Team-Based Signals
Mixco vs Achuapa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Mixco
GUAT
2-0
HT 2-0
Achuapa
GUAT
Mixco 0-1 Achuapa — Actual Match Statistics
Achuapa nicked a narrow win over Mixco 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Mixco at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Mixco had 64% of the ball to Achuapa's 36%, shots finished 14-7.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mixco had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mixco and 0.67 for Achuapa.
What was the final score of Mixco vs Achuapa?
Mixco 0-1 Achuapa in the Guatemala - National League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mixco vs Achuapa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mixco win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Mixco 54%, draw 24%, Achuapa 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mixco) went the other way.