Etoile Du Sahel 1-2 Olympique Beja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 22 Oct 2025

📅22/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.0
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.54
6+ Goals
10%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 34% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
3%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
61%
-1.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.3pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Du Sahel EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympique Beja EU Bookmakers 20%
-6% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.72/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.23
+18% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etoile Du Sahel
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Olympique Beja
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
18.01.2025 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja 0-2 HT 0-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1
31.08.2024 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 0-1 HT 0-1 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja TUN1
07.01.2024 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 0-2 HT 0-1 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja TUNSK
28.10.2023 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 0-0 HT 0-0 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja TUN1A
23.08.2023 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja 2-1 HT 1-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1A
20.05.2023 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja 0-0 HT 0-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN
POST-MATCH Etoile Du Sahel vs Olympique Beja
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympique Beja squeezed past Etoile Du Sahel 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Etoile Du Sahel carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympique Beja led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Etoile Du Sahel and 0.83 for Olympique Beja.

What was the final score of Etoile Du Sahel vs Olympique Beja?

Etoile Du Sahel 1-2 Olympique Beja in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 22/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Du Sahel vs Olympique Beja?

Before kick-off our model rated a Etoile Du Sahel win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Etoile Du Sahel 59%, draw 24%, Olympique Beja 17%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Etoile Du Sahel) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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