Perugia 2-0 Arezzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.48
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
4.91
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.8pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.4pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+3.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perugia EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Arezzo EU Bookmakers 37%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
1.94/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.38
+67% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
272 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perugia
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Arezzo
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.12.2023 Arezzo Arezzo 2-0 HT 1-0 Perugia Perugia İTC
31.01.2021 Perugia Perugia 3-0 HT 2-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
05.10.2020 Arezzo Arezzo 0-1 HT 0-0 Perugia Perugia İTC
21.05.2005 Perugia Perugia 1-0 HT 1-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTB
19.12.2004 Arezzo Arezzo 1-2 HT 0-2 Perugia Perugia İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perugia
2-0
AWAY Arezzo
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Perugia vs Arezzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perugia saw off Arezzo 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Perugia found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Perugia had 43% of the ball to Arezzo's 57%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Perugia had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Perugia and 0.60 for Arezzo.

What was the final score of Perugia vs Arezzo?

Perugia 2-0 Arezzo in the Italy - Serie C on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perugia vs Arezzo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arezzo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Perugia 33%, draw 30%, Arezzo 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Arezzo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arezzo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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