Triestina 0-1 Renate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.53
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
4.8
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-7.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.1pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triestina EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Renate EU Bookmakers 28%
-11% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +28%
1.36/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.19
-5% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triestina
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Renate
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.02.2024 Triestina Triestina 1-3 HT 1-1 Renate Renate İTC
07.11.2023 Triestina Triestina 4-0 Renate Renate İTCK
07.10.2023 Renate Renate 1-1 HT 1-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
15.03.2023 Renate Renate 1-4 HT 1-2 Triestina Triestina İTC
12.11.2022 Triestina Triestina 1-1 HT 1-0 Renate Renate İTC
06.03.2022 Triestina Triestina 0-2 HT 0-1 Renate Renate İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Triestina
0-1
AWAY Renate
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Triestina vs Renate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renate squeezed past Triestina 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Renate found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Triestina had 66% of the ball to Renate's 34%, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Triestina and 1.33 for Renate.

What was the final score of Triestina vs Renate?

Triestina 0-1 Renate in the Italy - Serie C on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triestina vs Renate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Triestina win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Triestina 40%, draw 28%, Renate 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Triestina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Triestina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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