Triestina vs Renate Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Triestina v Renate — Team-Based Signals
Triestina vs Renate Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
Renate
İTCK
1-1
HT 1-0
Triestina
İTC
1-4
HT 1-2
Triestina
İTC
1-1
HT 1-0
Renate
İTC
0-2
HT 0-1
Renate
İTC
2-1
HT 2-0
Triestina
İTC
Triestina 1-3 Renate — Actual Match Statistics
Renate got the better of Triestina 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Triestina at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Triestina had 60% of the ball to Renate's 40%, shots finished 11-12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Triestina and 1.17 for Renate.
What was the final score of Triestina vs Renate?
Triestina 1-3 Renate in the Italy - Serie C on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Triestina vs Renate?
Before kick-off our model rated a Triestina win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Triestina 48%, draw 25%, Renate 27%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.