GIANA Erminio 1-2 Legnago Salus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Feb 2024

📅13/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.05
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
6.12
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
32%
-3.6pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.7pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Legnago Salus EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.03/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.90
-16% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GIANA Erminio
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Legnago Salus
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Legnago Salus Legnago Salus 1-2 HT 0-1 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
13.02.2022 Legnago Salus Legnago Salus 0-0 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
03.10.2021 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 0-1 HT 0-1 Legnago Salus Legnago Salus İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GIANA Erminio
1-2
AWAY Legnago Salus
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH GIANA Erminio vs Legnago Salus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legnago Salus squeezed past GIANA Erminio 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Legnago Salus made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, GIANA Erminio had 63% of the ball to Legnago Salus's 37%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for GIANA Erminio and 0.67 for Legnago Salus.

What was the final score of GIANA Erminio vs Legnago Salus?

GIANA Erminio 1-2 Legnago Salus in the Italy - Serie C on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GIANA Erminio vs Legnago Salus?

Before kick-off our model rated a GIANA Erminio win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split GIANA Erminio 40%, draw 28%, Legnago Salus 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (GIANA Erminio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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