Recanatese 1-4 Rimini — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Feb 2024

📅13/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.77
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.17
6+ Goals
11%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.77 — our 30% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
35%
+5.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.0pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Recanatese EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Rimini EU Bookmakers 43%
-7% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.24/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/0.49
+7% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +112%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Recanatese
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Rimini
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
08.10.2023 Rimini Rimini 2-3 HT 1-2 Recanatese Recanatese İTC
18.03.2023 Rimini Rimini 1-2 HT 0-0 Recanatese Recanatese İTC
20.11.2022 Recanatese Recanatese 0-1 HT 0-1 Rimini Rimini İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Recanatese
1-4
AWAY Rimini
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Recanatese vs Rimini
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rimini cruised past Recanatese 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (41% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Rimini found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Recanatese had 53% of the ball to Rimini's 47%, shots finished 7-19.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Recanatese had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Recanatese and 1.33 for Rimini.

What was the final score of Recanatese vs Rimini?

Recanatese 1-4 Rimini in the Italy - Serie C on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Recanatese vs Rimini?

Before kick-off our model rated a Recanatese win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Recanatese 41%, draw 24%, Rimini 36%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Recanatese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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