Pontedera 2-3 Pineto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Feb 2024

📅13/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
4.62
6+ Goals
10%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.1pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontedera EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Pineto EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.62/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.17
+10% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontedera
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Pineto
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
08.10.2023 Pineto Pineto 4-1 HT 2-1 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontedera
2-3
AWAY Pineto
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pontedera vs Pineto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pineto squeezed past Pontedera 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Pontedera at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Pontedera had 63% of the ball to Pineto's 37%, shots finished 15-10.

What was the final score of Pontedera vs Pineto?

Pontedera 2-3 Pineto in the Italy - Serie C on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontedera vs Pineto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontedera win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pontedera 42%, draw 28%, Pineto 30%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pontedera) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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