Novara vs Pro Sesto Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Novara v Pro Sesto — Team-Based Signals
Novara vs Pro Sesto Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Novara
İTC
0-1
HT 0-1
Pro Sesto
İTC
2-1
HT 1-1
Novara
İTC
0-0
HT 0-0
Pro Sesto
İTC
3-0
HT 1-0
Novara
İTC
Novara 1-0 Pro Sesto — Actual Match Statistics
Novara squeezed past Pro Sesto 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Novara as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Novara had 52% of the ball to Pro Sesto's 48%, shots finished 12-7.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Pro Sesto led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Novara and 1.20 for Pro Sesto.
What was the final score of Novara vs Pro Sesto?
Novara 1-0 Pro Sesto in the Italy - Serie C on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Novara vs Pro Sesto?
Before kick-off our model rated a Novara win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Novara 43%, draw 30%, Pro Sesto 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.