Virtus Verona 1-0 Arzignano Valchiampo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Feb 2024

📅13/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.46
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
42%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.08
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
6.01
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
22%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
37%
-7.0pp
28%
Draw
32%
-3.5pp
42%
Away Win
31%
+10.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.6pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -1%
1.22/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.92
+5% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Verona
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.10.2023 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 0-1 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
05.03.2023 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 0-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
30.10.2022 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-0 HT 0-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
30.11.2019 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 1-1 HT 0-1 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Verona
1-0
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 24
7 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Virtus Verona vs Arzignano Valchiampo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Verona squeezed past Arzignano Valchiampo 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Arzignano Valchiampo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Virtus Verona had 40% of the ball to Arzignano Valchiampo's 60%, shots finished 8-24.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Virtus Verona had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Virtus Verona and 0.25 for Arzignano Valchiampo.

What was the final score of Virtus Verona vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Virtus Verona 1-0 Arzignano Valchiampo in the Italy - Serie C on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Verona vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arzignano Valchiampo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Virtus Verona 30%, draw 28%, Arzignano Valchiampo 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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