Bayern Münih vs Augsburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bayern Münih v Augsburg — Team-Based Signals
Bayern Münih vs Augsburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Augsburg
AL1
5-3
HT 4-1
Augsburg
AL1
2-5
HT 1-1
Bayern Münih
AFK
1-0
HT 0-0
Bayern Münih
AL1
1-0
HT 0-0
Augsburg
AL1
Bayern Münih 3-0 Augsburg — Actual Match Statistics
Bayern Münih swept aside Augsburg 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Bayern Münih had 80% of the ball to Augsburg's 20%, shots finished 33-2, expected goals 3.75 to 0.10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Bayern Münih and 1.50 for Augsburg.
What was the final score of Bayern Münih vs Augsburg?
Bayern Münih 3-0 Augsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bayern Münih vs Augsburg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Bayern Münih 67%, draw 19%, Augsburg 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.